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2024 · SAFECOMP / 2025 preprint · PhD Researcher, University of Twente

Satellite Safety-Security via Attack-Fault-Defense Trees

Developed semantics and cut-set metrics for attack-fault-defense trees and applied them to satellite mission risk analysis, aligning safety and security requirements.

Attack-Fault-Defense TreesCut-set reasoningMission risk analysisSafety-security co-analysis

Research focus

Safety, security, and formal methods for cyber-physical systems.

Safety: fault trees, reliability, dependability
Security: attack-defense trees, threats, countermeasures
Formal methods: model checking, SMC, MDPs, game theory

Safety

Fault Trees

Security

ADTs

Formal Methods

SMC · PRISM

Co-analysis
Dependability
Game Theory

CPS risk evidence

AFDTs · SMC · MDPs · strategies

Problem

Satellite ground-segment risks combine accidental failures, malicious attacks, and defenses that interact rather than stay in separate safety/security silos.

Context

Mission-critical satellite operations, with a case study around Ground Segment as a Service and industrial aerospace collaboration.

Method

Applied attack-fault-defense trees to model attacks, component failures, defenses, inhibition relations, and qualitative mitigation paths.

Result

The case study shows how joint attack, fault, and defense modeling exposes mission-level dependencies that separate analyses can miss.

Why It Matters

Mission resilience depends on understanding how a safety failure can amplify security exposure, and how defenses affect both paths.